Have you been under misconception, ‘debt investment is risk-free?’

Debt mutual funds invest in fixed-income securities such as bonds, treasury bills, and corporate debt. These securities are subject to market risks and fluctuations in interest rates, credit ratings, and other economic factors. If these factors move unfavorably, the value of the securities held by the fund can decrease, resulting in negative returns for investors.

Debt mutual funds invest in fixed-income securities such as government bonds, corporate bonds, and money market instruments. The value of these securities can fluctuate based on factors such as changes in interest rates, credit ratings, and economic conditions. If the value of the underlying securities in a debt mutual fund falls, the NAV (net asset value) of the fund will also decline, potentially resulting in negative returns for investors.

It’s important to note that debt mutual funds are generally considered less risky than equity mutual funds, but they are not risk-free. Investors should carefully evaluate their risk tolerance and investment objectives before investing in any mutual fund.

Several factors can impact negative returns for debt mutual funds in India, including:

  1. Interest rate risk: Debt mutual funds invest in fixed-income securities such as bonds, which are subject to interest rate risk. If interest rates rise, the value of the bonds in the fund’s portfolio may decrease, leading to a decline in the NAV of the fund and potentially negative returns.

  2. Credit risk: Debt mutual funds may invest in lower-rated bonds or bonds issued by companies with weaker financial positions. If these bonds default, the NAV of the fund may decrease, leading to negative returns.

  3. Liquidity risk: Debt mutual funds may invest in bonds that are illiquid or difficult to sell. If there is a lack of buyers in the market, the fund may be forced to sell bonds at a loss, leading to negative returns.

  4. Inflation risk: Inflation can erode the purchasing power of the fixed-income securities in the fund’s portfolio, leading to a decrease in the NAV of the fund and potentially negative returns.

  5. Currency risk: Debt mutual funds that invest in foreign bonds are subject to currency risk. If the currency of the country in which the bond is issued depreciates against the Indian rupee, the NAV of the fund may decrease, leading to negative returns.

  6. Macroeconomic factors: The performance of debt mutual funds can also be affected by macroeconomic factors such as inflation, GDP growth, and geopolitical risks. If these factors adversely impact the economy or the bond market, the returns from debt mutual funds may be low or negative.

  7. Management of the fund: The performance of debt mutual funds can also be impacted by the quality of the fund manager and the investment strategy followed by the fund. If the fund manager fails to invest in the right bonds or follows an inappropriate investment strategy, the returns from the fund may be low or negative

It’s important to note that debt mutual funds are not risk-free investments and may experience negative returns depending on the prevailing market conditions and other factors that affect the performance of the underlying securities in their portfolio. It’s important to note that past performance is not indicative of future results, and investors should carefully evaluate the risks associated with debt mutual funds before investing in them.

Investors should carefully consider the risks associated with debt mutual funds before investing in them. The impact of the RBI policy hike on debt mutual funds will depend on various factors such as the portfolio strategy of the fund, the types of bonds held in the portfolio, and prevailing market conditions. Investors should carefully evaluate the risks associated with debt mutual funds before investing in them.


 

What is the Best Debt Fund Category to invest in 2020

When to invest in a debt fund and how to invest in debt fund is a tricky one. Fixed income can be pretty volatile.

What are the ever green Debt funds? or how to ensure, you are always above the yield-curve? How to earn some extra interest income from debt funds?Are debt funds really safe now? Which debt fund will give best returns? How to choose a debt fund? What is ‘interest rate risk’? What is the safest debt fund? This post is very relevant to July 2020.

After Equity Mutual fund, debt MF has managed to catch the fancy of retail investors. Besides the popular Bharat Bond ETF and liquid mutual fund category, retail NCD issues have also made to our homes very actively in past few years. Especially with higher interest rates compared to Bank Fixed Deposits, it is indeed irresistible. 

In this post, I intend to share some factors on debt market investing and how to navigate through it. To achieve the right context, I will use some real life examples to make this topic more relatable.

Bharat Bond ETF Series II IPO is very fresh in our memory with over-subscription, so let’s begin with that. Launched in 14th – 17th July,2020 – the 7 years ETF with 5 years maturity offering 5.46% and 11 years maturity ETF yield is at 6.54%. So, this very safe (almost Government backed) Bond Fund/ Bond ETF is offering a little bit higher interest than SBI Fixed deposit (approximately 5.3% between 5 years – 10 years)  So, the interest rate offered by Bharat Bond ETF Does look attractive comparatively and it is. 

But, let us assume a scenario, – This is a hypothesis, for explaining how debt instrument works – In 2021, RBI Monetary policy scheduled in the Month of April RBI decides to increase the interest rate by 50 basis point or 0.5% followed by in 2022 April, another 0.5%. Again in April 2023, 0.5%, as a Bank, SBI will have to pass on this rate to the depositors, and the fresh deposit rates are 6.75%. So, a savvy investor is likely to close the deposit now, and book a new deposit with higher interest. 

Similarly, this will trickle down in bond market, the new bonds which comes in market, will offer a higher interest rate. So, the bonds issued during low interest regime (we are now in a low interest rate regime) will be sold for higher yielding bonds, and it will cause the bond rates fall, so in this scenario, if anyone sells the ETF unit, likely to earn less interest than the maturity yield or interest income. 

In low interest regime, it is a good idea to invest in liquid funds, ultra-short term debt funds. These category funds have no to very low interest rate risk. If someone wish to opt for debt funds replacing savings or fixed deposits, these funds are low risk ones. Because these funds invest in money market instruments, treasury-bills, ultra-short term government securities, so these debt assets have a low maturity and dont get affected by interest rate up or down. 

If you want to make a little extra money and ready to study a little more, it is a good idea to check the Banking and PSU funds, check out the secondary bonds in the market. They are the next best options.

If you wish to earn good interest on debt, you should wait for higher interest circle, and buy debt fund or AA+ and AAA rated bonds, if you choose to stay invested for longer term. 

In current scenario, of low interest rate, buy debt for shorter terms, and stick to funds like Bharat Bond ETF, liquid funds or Ultra-short term debt fund and review portfolio every quarter.

Yes, unlike equity Mutual Fund, Debt investments like Mutual Funds or Bond should be reviewed every quarter. Debt as an asset category is risky for long term. Unless you are able to lock-in for a really attractive/ high interest rate, investment horizon should not be more than 1 year or should reviewed periodically.

I am not a SEBI registered advisor. This blog is based on my understanding on the subject. This should be interpreted or used for making an investment decision.

IIFL NCD issue Jan 2019, should you buy or avoid?

IIFL NCD issue Jan 2019, should  you buy or avoid?

India Infoline has launched NCD issue Jan 2019. Should retail investors buy? Bond issues targeting an assorted investors includng retail investor has been a common theme in the last year. After a series of debenture issues in 2018, now India Infoline finance has come up with an issue of Rs. 2000 crore this year.

What is Bond or NCD?

About the Company – IIFL Holdings Limited – Incorporated in 1995, Listed on NSE and BSE in 2005. IIFL has pan-India presence as well as subsidiaries in major global financial centres. IIFL is three key group companies, India Infoline Finance, IIFL Wealth and IIFL Securities.

IIFL Wealth – Family office, AIFs, advisory and distribution services 

IIFL Securities – Retail and institutional broking, investment banking 

IIFL Wealth – Family office, AIFs, advisory and distribution services 

IIFL Securities – Retail and institutional broking, investment banking 

IIFL Finance deals with Home finance, LAP, Gold loan, Commercial Vehicle, SME and Micro Finance loans. India Infoline Finance Limited (IIFL Finance) was incorporated in 2004 under the flagship of IIFL Holdings Limited and presently offers small-ticket loan products to retail borrowers, delivered through a pan India branch network of 1,755# branches and digital channels. Now it has a two ddistinct subsidisry a micro finance company and a home fiancé company.

Object of the issue – For the purpose of onward lending, financing and for repayment/prepayment of interest and principal of existing borrowings – At least 75% of the Net Proceeds of the Issue. The money also will be used for General Corporate Purposes – up to 25% of the Net Proceeds of the Issue. An investor with a demat account can apply for the issue. Issue opens on 22nd Jan, and closes on 20th Feb, however, the allotment is on first cum first served basis. NCD unit priced at 1,000, on can apply for minimum 10 units.  Issuer aims a raising funds of Rs 2000 cr

Nature of bonds – Secured and Unsecured NCDs

Credit Ratings “AA/Stable” by CRISIL and ICRA,”AA+/Stable” by Brickwork

The company offered both secured and unsecured debenture in this issue. The secured fixed income instrument offers a tenure of 36-60 months, with coupon rate varying from 9.5 – 10.2% interest. Category 1 – Corporates, category II – Non-institutional investors, III – HNIs, Category IV – Retail investors. Retail investors can subscribe upto 30% of the issue.

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Mymoneystreets take – Indiainfoline is an established name in broking, NBFC, Mutual Fund and as investment firm, it is also and established distributor of financial products. The current issue of the company is offering atleast 2% higher return compare to bank fixed deposit. With AA rating, investors can look at invest in the secured debentures. Unsecured debentures carries higher risk and higher return.   Investor can look at 30% of fixed income allocation in NCD portfolio to give it an edge and diversification.

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